PP,
That's a pretty standard reply. The two things that stand out are The Embassy's reluctance to believe that the girl will return to Thailand - her job, time away etc etc. I appreciate that she'll be applying for a fiancee visa this time round, so the situation has changed.
However, the most important thing is that the two people will have to demonstrate a genuine relationship that has been lasting for a while. I'm afraid that the B/f's history of visits to Thailand will not help matters. Sure, letters, photos, emails will help but there's nothing like a physical relationship, especially if the girl's going to get married!!!
How long after the VV refusal will they be be applying for fiancee? That will raise a few flags as well.
I'm also afraid to say that the fact she has a kid will actually be a hinderence, not a help. "Another mouth to feed in the UK". Your brother has already seen how the child has been used to work against the original application. Believe me, my ex g/f had three children. I've been through it. The wording above brings back memories.
I think your brother will have an uphill struggle. Sorry to say that, but first and foremost there's just not enough "history" there. To apply for a different type of visa now - fiancee - will not impress The Embassy. I've mentioned marriage before, but gooze was quite right when he said don't do it. It dosn't look good. The fiancee thing is half way there and that's how The Embassy will look at it.
So, everything above is negative and the points are those that the two people should focus in on.
It's not going to be easy, but even if the next visa is turned down, they shouldn't give up. The Embassy will probably assume that a high percentage of similar applications will just "fade away". and that's the case, I'm sure.
Keep knocking on their door and she'll eventually be let in. It's all about demonstrable history.
